Latest news from the Department of Meteorology

Where is the high probability?

October 24th, 2016 : 06:45 AM

By Peter Jan van Leeuwen To determine the uncertainty in weather and climate forecasts an ensemble of model runs is used, see Figure 1. Each model run represents a plausible scenario of what the atmosphere or the climate system will do, … Continue reading

Producing quantitative estimates of radiative forcing

October 17th, 2016 : 06:45 AM

By Will Davies Last year the Paris climate conference agreed to an action plan to limit global warming to below 2 degC – preferably 1.5 degC. Various initiatives are measuring performance against this target – such as the global warming … Continue reading

El Niño in West and Central Africa

October 10th, 2016 : 06:45 AM

By Chimene Daleu   What is El Niño, how often does it occur, and why is everyone so concerned this year? El Niño is the warming phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). During an El Niño event, the … Continue reading

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